The AIDS epidemic threatens Kenya with a long wave of premature adult mortality, and thus with an enduring setback to the formation of human capital and economic growth. To investigate this possibility, the authors develop a model with three overlapping generations, calibrate it to the demographic and economic series from 1950 until 1990, and then perform simulations for the period ending in 2050 under alternative assumptions about demographic developments...
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详细
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2006/10/01
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政策研究报告
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WPS4025
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1
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1
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2010/07/01
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Disclosed
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Economic growth, education, and AIDS in Kenya : a long-run analysis
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young adult