The study develops a new method to measure the impacts of climate change on agriculture called the Agro-Ecological Zone (AEZ) Model. A multinomial logit is estimated to predict the probability of each AEZ in each district. The average percentage of cropland and average crop net revenue are calculated for each AEZ. Then an estimate of the amount of cropland in Africa and where it is located is provided. Using current conditions, the model calculates...
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详细
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2008/09/01
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政策研究报告
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WPS4717
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1
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1
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2010/07/01
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Disclosed
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How will climate change shift agro-ecological zones and impact African agriculture ?
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land use system