Support for economic reforms has often shown puzzling dynamics: many reforms that began successfully lost public support. This paper shows that learning dynamics can rationalize this paradox because the process of revealing reform outcomes is an example of sampling without replacement. This concept challenges the conventional wisdom that one should begin by revealing reform winners. It may also lead to situations in which reforms that enjoy both ex...
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详细
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2014/07/01
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政策研究报告
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WPS6973
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1
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1
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2014/07/01
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Disclosed
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Learning dynamics and support for economic reforms : why good news can be bad
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political point of view